Occidental Petroleum Stock Performance

OXY Stock  USD 51.84  0.31  0.60%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Occidental Petroleum holds a performance score of 14. The company holds a Beta of 0.3, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Occidental Petroleum's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Occidental Petroleum is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Occidental Petroleum's maximum drawdown, skewness, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and downside variance , to make a quick decision on whether Occidental Petroleum's historical price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Occidental Petroleum are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly unsteady basic indicators, Occidental Petroleum showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
9.38
Five Day Return
13.75
Year To Date Return
21.59
Ten Year Return
(26.63)
All Time Return
183.91
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0204
Payout Ratio
0.4344
Forward Dividend Rate
0.96
Dividend Date
2026-01-15
Ex Dividend Date
2025-12-10
 
Occidental Petroleum dividend paid on 15th of January 2026
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Begin Period Cash Flow2.2 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-5.8 B

Occidental Petroleum Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  4,119  in Occidental Petroleum on November 22, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,065  from holding Occidental Petroleum or generate 25.86% return on investment over 90 days. Occidental Petroleum is generating 0.4096% of daily returns assuming volatility of 2.2993% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 20% of stocks are less volatile than Occidental, and above 92% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Occidental Petroleum is expected to generate 3.08 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.08 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.18 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of risk.

Occidental Petroleum Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Occidental Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 51.84 90 days 51.84 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Occidental Petroleum to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Occidental Petroleum probability density function shows the probability of Occidental Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Occidental Petroleum has a beta of 0.3. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Occidental Petroleum average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Occidental Petroleum will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Occidental Petroleum has an alpha of 0.317, implying that it can generate a 0.32 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Occidental Petroleum Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Occidental Petroleum

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Occidental Petroleum. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Occidental Petroleum's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
49.6451.9454.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
50.9353.2355.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
50.1352.4354.73
Details
27 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
44.6649.0854.48
Details

Occidental Petroleum Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Occidental Petroleum is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Occidental Petroleum's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Occidental Petroleum, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Occidental Petroleum within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.32
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.30
σ
Overall volatility
2.37
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Occidental Petroleum Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Occidental Petroleum for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Occidental Petroleum can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Occidental Petroleum is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Occidental Petroleum has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
On 15th of January 2026 Occidental Petroleum paid $ 0.24 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Occidental Petroleum Q4 Earnings Top Estimates

Occidental Petroleum Fundamentals Growth

Occidental Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Occidental Petroleum, and Occidental Petroleum fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Occidental Stock performance.

About Occidental Petroleum Performance

Evaluating Occidental Petroleum's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Occidental Petroleum has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Occidental Petroleum has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 39.44  29.38 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.03  0.03 
Return On Capital Employed(0.22)(0.21)
Return On Assets 0.03  0.03 
Return On Equity 0.11  0.06 

Things to note about Occidental Petroleum performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Occidental Petroleum for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Occidental Petroleum help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Occidental Petroleum is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Occidental Petroleum has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
On 15th of January 2026 Occidental Petroleum paid $ 0.24 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Occidental Petroleum Q4 Earnings Top Estimates
Evaluating Occidental Petroleum's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Occidental Petroleum's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Occidental Petroleum's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Occidental Petroleum's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Occidental Petroleum's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Occidental Petroleum's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Occidental Petroleum's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Occidental Petroleum's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Occidental Petroleum's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Occidental Petroleum's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Occidental Petroleum's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Occidental Stock Analysis

When running Occidental Petroleum's price analysis, check to measure Occidental Petroleum's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Occidental Petroleum is operating at the current time. Most of Occidental Petroleum's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Occidental Petroleum's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Occidental Petroleum's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Occidental Petroleum to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.